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Metservice Severe Weather Outlook


A front moves slowly eastwards across the North Island on Sunday and Monday, and a low may develop on it, deepening over or near the North Island on Monday.
There is moderate confidence of warning amounts of rainfall across the upper North Island from Sunday to Monday, from Taranaki, Whanganui, Taihape, inland Hawke's Bay and Gisborne northwards, including northern Gisborne about East Cape.
Heavy rain watches are in force for some of these areas, and more are likely to be issued.
North to north-east winds are likely to strengthen from Sunday to Monday as the low deepens, and there is low confidence that severe gales could affect areas from Northland southwards through Auckland, Waikato and Bay of Plenty to northern Gisborne.
From Sunday to Monday, heavy rain could affect parts of the lower North Island, with low confidence of warning amounts of rain for Wellington, Kapiti, Horowhenua, the Tararua District and southern Wairarapa.
Additionally, there is low confidence that severe south to southeast gales could affect the Kaikoura Coast, Wellington, Marlborough Sounds and Farewell Spit from Monday to Tuesday.

Outlook courtesy of the Metservice