Watch ImageA Severe Weather Watch has been issued!

Metservice Severe Weather Outlook

A front, preceded by a strong northwesterly flow, weakens as it moves over the North Island on Monday, followed by a southwesterly flow.
This front brings a burst of heavy rain and strong winds to parts of southern and central New Zealand, and Severe Weather Warnings and Watches have been issued.
There is moderate confidence that rainfall accumulations will reach warning criteria about the Tararua Range early Monday morning.
There is also moderate confidence of severe northwest gales about the Marlborough Sounds, Wellington, Wairarapa including the Tararua District, and Hawkes Bay south of Hastings during the early hours of Monday.
Southwesterlies ease later Monday and during Tuesday as a ridge of high pressure builds over the country.
A low approaches northern New Zealand from the Tasman Sea on Wednesday and Thursday, preceded by a strengthening easterly flow.
An associated front is expected to bring rain to the upper North Island, along with strong to gale force easterly winds.
Meanwhile, the ridge remains over central and southern New Zealand.
There is moderate confidence of warnable amounts of rain about Northland, especially the eastern hills, on Wednesday and Thursday.
On Thursday, there is low confidence of heavy rain about northern parts of Auckland and Coromandel Peninsula, as indicated on the chart.
In addition, there is low confidence of severe easterly gales about Northland and northern parts of Auckland on Thursday.

Outlook courtesy of the Metservice